In 2020, major pests and diseases are expected to occur at a relatively severe level, and China’s demand for insecticides is projected to maintain rapid growth.
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Industry Information
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2020-05-09
According to reports, on April 21, 2020, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs convened a national video conference to advance and implement measures for the prevention and control of major crop diseases and pests. At the meeting, the ministry stated that this year, major pests and diseases such as wheat stripe rust, Fusarium head blight, and the fall armyworm are expected to occur at relatively severe levels. Emphasizing the need to ensure disaster resilience and secure a bumper harvest, the ministry outlined five key measures, including promoting tailored strategies and implementing region-specific management for different diseases and pests.
According to reports, in recent weeks, adult fall armyworms have been detected in 228 counties across China—approximately two months earlier than in 2019. Furthermore, the “2020 National Fall Armyworm Control Plan” issued earlier this year highlights that, in 2020, the pest is expected to exhibit a large initial population, an earlier northward migration, and an expanding infestation area, with nationwide control efforts projected to cover between 80 million and 100 million mu of farmland. Industry analysts suggest that the fall armyworm control plan could drive increased demand for insecticides. In summary, China’s insecticide market remains robust, with demand expected to maintain rapid growth over the next five years.
Since the beginning of 2019, China’s pesticide supply has improved as the number of enterprises meeting the conditions for resuming production has increased and new capacity has been gradually brought online. Although the Chinese pesticide market experienced a downturn in early 2020 due to the pandemic, the easing of the epidemic, the accelerated resumption of work and production, and the onset of spring planting—driving greater demand from agricultural activities—have led to a recovery in the market. Data show that in 2019, China’s cumulative pesticide output totaled 2.254 million tons, down 0.2% year on year, with December accounting for 209,000 tons. By March 2020, the country’s output of technical-grade chemical pesticides reached 495,000 tons, a 7.8% year-on-year decline; in March alone, output stood at 228,000 tons, up 3.6% year on year. It is projected that China’s pesticide supply in 2020 will be around 2.2 million tons.
Monthly Pesticide Production in China, March 2018–March 2020
Data Source: Compiled from publicly available data
Monthly cumulative pesticide production in China, March 2018–March 2020
Data Source: Compiled from publicly available data
Currently, insecticides dominate the pesticide market, accounting for 40%; followed by herbicides and fungicides, which represent 36.45% and 22.13%, respectively.
Current structure and distribution of China’s pesticide market
Data Source: Compiled from publicly available data (WW)
The above data are sourced from the “2020 China Insecticide Industry Analysis Report: In-Depth Industry Research and Development Prospects Forecast.”
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